The Super Bowl: experts break down statistics to predict this year’s winner

New research has predicted that the Kansas City Chiefs will take the title of the Super Bowl winner in 2024.

Experts at JeffBet.com analyzed the official 2023/2024 statistics of the two teams going head to head in the Super Bowl, including the total first downs, field goals, and points scored; each category was awarded an index score to determine the win chance percentage.

2023/2024 Stats

Kansas City Chiefs Score

San Francisco 49ers Score

Total First Downs

10

6.18

3rd Down Conversions

6.91

10

4th Down Conversions

10

Total Offensive Yards

10

7.06

Total Rushing Yards

10

6.96

Total Passing Yards

10

7.23

Sacks

6.67

10

Field Goals

10

6

Touchdowns

10

10

Points Scored

7.56

10

Win Chance %

54.8

45.2

The Kansas City Chiefs earned a score of 10 for the number of first downs this season, based on a total of 68; this is significantly higher than the total for the San Francisco 49ers, which is 42, resulting in a score of 6.18.

However, when it comes to 3rd down conversions, the 49ers take the crown; the team have had 16 successful attempts out of 28, giving them a score of 10, while the Chiefs scored 6.91 based on 15 successful attempts out of 38.

The Chiefs scored 10 for 4th down conversions with 2 successful attempts out of 3. However, the 49ers received the lowest possible score of 0 after only making one attempt which wasn’t successful.

The offensive yards proved to be another high-scoring category for the Chiefs with a total of 1089, resulting in a score of 10; the 49ers were slightly behind with a score of 7.06 due to a total of 769.

Continuing the winning streak, the Kansas City Chiefs earned yet another score of 10 for the total passing yards being 718, whereas the 49ers received a score of 7.23 for a total of 519.

In terms of sacks, the 49ers have won this category, having 3 in total and taking a score of 10; the Chiefs received a score of 6.67 based on having 2 sacks.

Field goals prove to be another strong category for the Chiefs, with all 7 attempts being successful, resulting in a score of 10 – out of the 5 attempts made by the San Francisco 49ers, 3 were successful, which earned them a score of 6.

With both teams having an impressive 7 touchdowns, they have tied in this category, each taking a score of 10.

In the 2023 season, the 49ers have racked up a total of 491 points, leading to a well-deserved score of 10. This is much higher than the Chiefs total points scored, which is 371, accumulating a score of 7.56.

Based on the analysis of each category, the Kansas City Chiefs have a 54.8% chance of winning, with the San Francisco 49ers having a 45.2% chance of being crowned the Super Bowl winner.

A spokesperson from JeffBet.com has commented: “It’s fascinating to see the Super Bowl predictions with the statistics completely broke down, with the findings suggesting that the Chiefs are a stronger team by scoring high in multiple categories.”

However, the beauty of the NFL is that it can be so unpredictable; so, while the findings reflect that the Chiefs are more likely to win the Super Bowl, we could very well see the 49ers become the winner.”